Weather Warning: PMD Predicts Mixed Climate Hazards, Flash Floods, and Heatwaves in Upcoming Months

The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has issued an advisory stating that temperatures across the majority of Pakistan are projected to remain above historical averages from July through September 2026. This elevated heat, occurring alongside the seasonal monsoon currents, is anticipated to present significant climate challenges across the country.

The PMD forecasts total rainfall to be within the normal to marginally below-normal bracket. Despite this baseline, northern territories—specifically Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan, and Azad Jammu and Kashmir—remain susceptible to isolated spells of intense downpours. These concentrated rain systems carry the potential to trigger sudden flash flooding, terrain instability or landslides, and accelerated glacial melting. Concurrently, major urban centers face risks of waterlogging and inundation due to strained municipal drainage networks.

In contrast, the southern plains of Punjab and Sindh are expected to encounter recurring heatwave conditions. The prolonged combination of high temperatures and humidity creates conducive environments for vector-borne illnesses, particularly dengue fever. Additionally, the agricultural sector is cautioned to manage resources proactively in anticipation of localized water scarcity in certain irrigation zones.

The monsoon matrix is scheduled to establish its initial footprint during the opening week of July. The weather matrix prompts citizens to maintain adequate fluid intake, limit direct exposure during peak solar hours, and track meteorological bulletins. Provincial and district administrative bodies are urged to ensure maximum operational readiness to handle contingency scenarios.